Despite a shocking midseason trade that sent him from the Boston Red Sox to the San Francisco Giants, Rafael Devers has already notched his fourth season with at least 30 home runs and 100 RBI. Now he’ll hope to miraculously propel the Giants into the 2025 MLB Playoffs over the final couple of weeks of the season with San Francisco in the hunt for an NL Wild Card spot. On Monday, Devers and the Giants will begin a critical three-game series with the Arizona Diamondbacks, and a matchup with right-hander Zac Gallen could bode well for the left-handed slugger who has an .896 OPS against righties this season.
Devers sees Gallen well, as evidenced by a .556 career OBP against him, and he’s one of our top MLB home runs picks for Monday with the latest MLB home run odds pricing him as high as +425 to go yard. MLB home run props are available for almost every player in every game at various sportsbooks, and SportsLine’s proven computer model can help you find value for your MLB betting picks. New users can also use the latest DraftKings promo code to get $200 in bonus bets instantly plus over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket, and take advantage of one of the best sportsbook promos:
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It’s up 49.25 units on its individual MLB HR picks this season, calling two three-leg parlays paying at least 80-1. Now, the model and SportsLine’s team of Data Scientists have revealed their betting projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Monday. You can find even more picks in their daily blog.
Best MLB home run picks for Monday, September 15:
MLB Best Home Run Bets 9/15
For more real-time, free picks every day:Â Inside the Lines Blog.
Rafael Devers, Giants (+425, BetMGM)
Devers is 2-for-6 with 3 walks in his career against Zac Gallen, which indicates that he’s seen the ball pretty well out of Gallen’s hand. Gallen has allowed left-handed batters to hit .266 with a .780 OPS this season, and Devers is a better hitter against right-handed pitching. We set Devers’ line at +330 to homer, and you can use the latest BetMGM promo code to bet as a new user and get up to $1,500 in bonus bets back if your first bet loses:
Cody Bellinger, Yankees (+442, DraftKings)
Bellinger’s play has been a big reason why the Yankees have played better as of late. The Yankees are 14-6 over the last 20 games, and Bellinger is hitting .300 with an .890 OPS in that time frame. In 5 second-half starts, Simeon Woods Richardson has a 6.75 ERA with 6 HRs allowed. The consensus line is +360, so getting +442 on DraftKings is a strong value. We set his line at +342 to homer today, and you can bet this prop at DraftKings to get $200 in bonus bets instantly plus over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket:
Brandon Lowe, Rays (+425, BetMGM)
Lowe is facing Trey Yesavage, who is making his MLB debut today. While Yesavage has been awesome in the minor leagues after getting drafted last season, he hasn’t faced MLB-level hitters in every at-bat. After hitting 9 home runs in August, Lowe has yet to homer in September, but we are going with a “he’s due” approach. We set the line at +315 for Lowe to homer. Bet this prop at BetMGM as a new user and get up to $1,500 in bonus bets back if your first bet loses:
Where to bet MLB props on Monday
Here is a look at betting sites that will offer MLB HR props on Monday:Â
More MLB picks for MondayÂ
You’ve seen the model’s MLB HR prop picks for several players on Monday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.
Need more from SportsLine? See today’s best MLB picks from SportsLine’s Angelo Magliocca, who is on a 74-48 roll (+1797.5) on MLB picks.Â
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