The Mets lost their eighth straight game last Saturday, but they have won four of their five games since then heading into the Saturday MLB schedule. Their latest win was a 12-6 victory over Washington on Friday, as star outfielder Juan Soto homered for the second time in three games. Soto has a career-high 42 homers overall this season, with 19 of them coming after the All-Star break. He is +325 to go yard in the Saturday MLB odds.Â
SportsLine’s Inside the Lines team is backing Soto among their Saturday MLB HR bets. MLB home run props are available for almost every player in every game at various sportsbooks, and SportsLine’s proven computer model can help you find value for your MLB betting picks. New users can also use the latest DraftKings promo code to get $200 in bonus bets instantly plus over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket, and take advantage of one of the best sportsbook promos:
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It’s up 28.45 units on its individual MLB HR picks this season after calling Nick Kurtz (+320) to homer on Friday, and it has hit two three-leg parlays paying at least 80-1. Now, the model and SportsLine’s team of Data Scientists have revealed their betting projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Saturday. You can find even more picks in their daily blog.
Best MLB home run picks for Saturday, September 20:
MLB Best Home Run Bets 9/20
For more real-time, free picks every day:Â Inside the Lines Blog.
Juan Soto, Mets (+325, BetMGM)
Soto has been on fire in September with 7 HRs in 17 games. He’s hit 31 of his career-high 42 home runs this season against right-handed pitchers. Soto is facing a rookie pitcher and his former team, the Washington Nationals, which is a matchup the model likes. We set the line at +295 for Soto to homer, and you can also use the latest BetMGM promo code to get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if your first bet loses. Â
Nick Kurtz, Athletics (+478, DraftKings)
We’re going back to Kurtz again today after he cashed for us yesterday. Bubba Chandler has been dominant against left-handed hitters in his 5 MLB starts, but Kurtz has been equally dominant against right-handed pitchers. We’re taking the longshot value at +478, as we set Kurtz’s line at +310 to homer, and you can bet this prop at DraftKings to get $200 in bonus bets instantly plus over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket:
Christian Yelich, Brewers (+520, FanDuel)
Yelich is very familiar with Miles Mikolas, with 51 career plate appearances against him. While Yelich hasn’t had a ton of success, he does have two home runs off Mikolas. Left-handed batters are hitting .272 with 15 HRs and an .806 OPS against Mikolas this season. The weather is expected to be batter-friendly in St. Louis, and we set Yelich’s line at +350 to homer. You can get $300 in bonus bet if your first $5+ bet wins at FanDuel:
Where to bet MLB props on Saturday
Here is a look at betting sites that will offer MLB HR props on Saturday:Â
More MLB picks for SaturdayÂ
You’ve seen the model’s MLB HR prop picks for several players on Saturday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.
Need more from SportsLine? See today’s best MLB picks from SportsLine’s Angelo Magliocca, who is on a 79-56 roll (+1611) on MLB picks.Â
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