How to bet the Raiders in 2025: Super Bowl odds, win total, props, best bets for Las Vegas

After a 4-13 season under Antonio Pierce, the Las Vegas Raiders decided to join the “big name head coach” party in the AFC West and bring on Pete Carroll, who lead the Seahawks to at least seven wins in all 14 seasons as Seattle’s head coach. He also gives the division four coaches who have won the NFC at least once and coached in a Super Bowl, but the Raiders seemingly have the longest road to travel to get to this season’s Super Bowl after finishing six games out of third place in the division in 2024.

The first step required to turn the Raiders into a playoff contender was upgrading at quarterback, and the team did so by reuniting Carroll with Geno Smith in a trade with the Seahawks. Smith made the Pro Bowl in each of Carroll’s final two seasons with the team while throwing 50 touchdowns versus 20 interceptions and leading the league in completion percentage one season, so he’ll represent a big improvement from the team’s trio of starters last year. The next step involved improving on a rushing attack that finished last in yards per attempt last year, and the Raiders invested the No. 6 overall pick in the draft to do just that by selecting Ashton Jeanty, who rushed for 2,601 yards and 29 touchdowns, the second-most rushing yards in a season ever behind Barry Sanders.

Improvements were needed on the defensive side of the ball as well, though the Raiders mainly focused on new deals for in-house talent, including star pass rusher Maxx Crosby. Those investments plus the offensive additions left the Raiders to try to upgrade with players on smaller deals and less premium draft picks, with the team turning over the top of the depth chart at linebacker entirely and adding Germaine Pratt, Elandon Roberts and Devin White. Third-round rookie Darien Porter and another free agent, Eric Stokes, may wind up serving as the team’s best two corners, and Jeremy Chinn should give the Raiders another new starter at safety. It’s a lot of moving parts for retained defensive coordinator Patrick Graham to make work as Las Vegas attempts to make a surprise playoff run.

We’re going to take a quick look at the Raiders’ 2024 season and the rest of their offseason moves before getting into their track record in NFL futures over the last five years. After that, you can find the odds available at top sportsbooks for their 2025 win total along with Super Bowl and playoff odds as well as key player props to know. Finally, we’ll take a look at the pros and cons of betting on the Raiders in 2025 and give out our best bets.

2024 Las Vegas Raiders season review

• Regular season: 4-13 (Last, AFC West)
• Playoffs: Missed
• Second-longest active playoff win drought in NFL (2002)
• Second team ever to trail by double-digits in each of first 14 games (1986 Colts)
• Tied for second worst turnover differential in NFL (-16)
• Started 2-12 before going 2-1 in final three games (dropped from No. 2 to No. 6 pick) 

2025 Las Vegas Raiders offseason review

Five-year futures odds and trends

Historical betting data via Pro-Football-Reference.

2025 Las Vegas Raiders futures odds

Odds subject to change.

2025 Ashton Jeanty props

Odds subject to change.

Reasons to back the Raiders

Carroll, who had just one losing season in 12 campaigns with the Seahawks, should automatically elevate the standard for this roster. There’s plenty of veterans on both sides of the ball who will respond to that standard, and Carroll is an expert in bringing out the best in players. In football, being fundamentally sound can help overcome a lot of talent issues. That’s the hallmark of Carroll’s teams. Smith is an upgrade at quarterback and adding Jeanty in the backfield gives the Raiders more balance on offense. Brock Bowers should continue to be a force after a strong rookie campaign. There’s enough competence in key positions to believe the Raiders could surpass their win total despite playing in a tough division, even if the talent level isn’t where it needs to be.

Reasons to fade the Raiders

Even with the upgrades, there are holes on this roster across both sides of the ball. Jakobi Meyers is not a true No. 1 receiver and asking a rookie running back to elevate the entire offense is tough, even with someone as talented as Jeanty. Smith, while providing an upgrade at quarterback, is probably a consensus league-average player at the position. He’s arguably the worst quarterback in the division, which is one of the most challenging in the NFL. The Raiders have six games where they are likely to be underdogs right off the bat, and they also have to go on the road against the Commanders, Eagles and Texans. There’s a chance the division and postseason could be out of the picture by Week 14, which means the Raiders could try to play some of their younger guys and stealthily tank to close the campaign.

How to bet the Raiders in 2025

• Under 7.5 wins -140 (Caesars)
• Geno Smith Over 3575.5 passing yards (DraftKings)

I came into the offseason wanting to like the Raiders after the additions of Pete Carroll and Geno Smith, but I just can’t get there. This was arguably the worst team in the league for most of the season with just two wins in its first 14 games, one on a miracle comeback against the Ravens and the other at home against the awful Browns in a close game. There hasn’t been enough of a talent upgrade anywhere besides quarterback and running back, and the latter is arguably one of the least impactful positions to take early in the draft. While Ashton Jeanty is an incredible talent, does having him give the team a better chance at stacking wins than having a legit No. 1 receiver like Tetairoa McMillan, a legitimate running mate for Maxx Crosby on the defensive line or a top-tier right tackle prospect that would’ve given Las Vegas one of the better tackle pairings in the league? I don’t think the combination of Jeanty, Smith and Carroll make the Raiders four wins better.

The passing yardage prop for Smith feels quite low if he can stay healthy, and he’s missed just two games the last three years with the Seahawks. His average game totals the last three seasons have ranged from 241 to 255 yards, while the Raiders averaged 223.4 passing yards last season and still put up nearly 3,800 passing yards. I expect Vegas to be playing from behind a lot, and Carroll should have all the confidence in the world in Smith to throw downfield in those situations. Smith just needs to average 211 passing yards in 17 games to hit this Over, and he can get it done in 15 games by averaging 239 yards, which is below his range in his last three seasons.